ABSTRACT
With the onset of March 2020, India has stared witnessing the pandemic caused by COVID-19. However, the effect of this pandemic is not the same across different states of India. In this paper, the authors have carried out detailed analysis to get the complete view of the severity of COVID-19 disease in various states of India and have tried to find out the impact of various preventive measures like lockdown on its containment. The analysis will help various agencies to take appropriate, rigorous, and continuous measures to overcome this great health challenge. Copyright © 2021 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.
ABSTRACT
COVID-19 is an extremely contagious disease caused due to SARS-CoV-2 that appeared from Wuhan and has now spread all over the world. Its spread is worrisome not only because of its high transmissibility rate but also the fatality rate as reported by various studies. Hence, it becomes very important to estimate its spread in order to take appropriate preventive measures. In this paper, authors use different mathematical models to predict the count of COVID-19 confirmed cases in India till the end of lockdown 2.0 and the number of deaths using the data of patients in India. The comparison of the analytical results and the available results shows that the proposed methods are accurate within a specific range and will be useful for healthcare leaders and decision makers in near future. The forecasted results suggest the strong need of preventive measures to be taken rapidly in order to fight with COVID-19. Copyright © 2021 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.